The Coincident Index (CI) declined by 0.2% from 123.4
points to 123.2 points in July 2008. Index of industrial
production (-0.2%), salaries & wages in manufacturing
sector (-0.2%), employment in manufacturing sector
(-0.1%) and contributions in EPF (-0.1%) were the
contributors to the decrease of this index.
The six-month smoothed growth rate of CI slipped
to -0.2% in the current month.
The Leading Index (LI) posted a decrease of 0.8%
at 159.4 points in July 2008 as compared to 160.6
points in the previous month. All components in the
LI contributed negatively to the index except eight
major trading partners (0.5%) and number of new companies
registered (0.3%). The six-month smoothed growth rate
of the LI registered a drop at 3.0% in the current
month.
The Lagging Index (LGI) fell by 1.2% to 144.1 points
in July 2008. Contributors to the weaker index were
excess lending to private sector (-2.5%) and number
of investment projects approved (-0.1%). The six-month
smoothed growth rate of LGI moved down to -7.7% in
the current month.
The six-month smoothed growth rate of LI at 3.0%
suggests that the economic scenario in the near term
period remain favourable. This is supported by the
positive growth of LI for the first half year of 2008.